Today had all the ingredients for a trend day higher — NVDA crushed earnings, and QQQ opened up $10.

On paper, that should’ve set the tone. Instead, it turned into the sharpest intraday reversal we’ve seen in weeks.

The first crack showed up outside equities. Bitcoin and Ethereum gave back their entire overnight gains before the bell, and to me, that was telling.

It reminded me of last week when IWM was down $1 pre-market immediately after the government made progress on avoiding a shutdown. “Good news” didn’t matter — risk assets were already signaling trouble. Today had the same feel.

Bottom line, in October, we had a sentiment blowoff; it was our January 2021. All the *hit stocks went bananas: quantum, robots, nuclear, and all the other non-making money stocks made explosive moves.

The irony is that we flagged the quantum names early in September on the way up, and they’ve now turned into some of the cleanest short setups via the inverse ETFs.

RGTZ, QBTZ, IONZ, and DAMD have been doing the heavy lifting for me. Too bad there aren’t more single-stock inverse ETFs, because the opportunities have been there.

This morning, before the reversal even accelerated, I posted the key chart in the private feed: QQQ 5-minute trading below both AVWAPs — the opening print and the 4:25 pm anchor. Combine that with weakness in AMD and the same speculative names that led the blowoff in October, and the message was clear: the backdrop wasn’t as strong as the headline numbers suggested.

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