frankz

The S&P 500 printed an inside day on the lowest volume in 2 weeks 📉 The bounce just hit a wall at the declining 21-day MA — classic dead cat setup: Thanks for reading ZOR’s Substack! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work. ☑️ Low volume ☑️ Overhead resistance ☑️ Downward trend It's so obvious it feels like a trap… But after-hours $NVDA news might make the obvious trade right this time 👀 🚨 Nvidia announced a $5.5 billion charge after the U.S. government restricted exports of its H20 AI chip to China — a key [...]

🚨 Only 3.78% of stocks are above their 20-day moving average — one of the lowest readings in 20 years. Think: 💥 GFC, 🇺🇸 debt downgrade, 🦠 COVID crash levels. Let’s zoom in: 2008 2011 2018 2020 2025 TBD There’s always a reason. Share Thanks for reading ZOR’s Substack! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.

📉 S&P500 just dropped -12.1% in 4 days. One of the worst 4-day stretches in 75 years. This ain't normal. Only 15 times has it been this ugly. 🔥 April 2025 just joined the hall of pain. 🧵 Let's talk history, panic… and opportunity: When markets get smoked like this, it feels like the end. But history? It whispers something different… Look at these bounce-back numbers after past 4-day plunges: 📈 1-Year Avg Return: +34.71% 📈 3-Year Avg Return: +51.50% 📈 5-Year Avg Return: +101.71% 1987 1998 2002 2008 2025 TBD Share GET IN TOUCH: Managed Assets Book a call, [...]

📉 Market Recap S&P 500: 4,982.77 (-1.6%)​ Dow Jones: 37,645.59 (-0.8%)​ Nasdaq: 15,267.91 (-2.1%)​ Russell 2000: 1,760.71 (-2.7%)​ Bitcoin: $76,983 (-2.5%)​ 📊 Market Highlights The S&P 500 experienced a historic intraday swing, surging 4.1% before closing down 1.6%, marking its largest reversal since at least 1978. ​ Despite the day's downturn, today's closing prices remain above Monday's lows. ​ 📰 Headlines Tariff Turmoil: The U.S. confirmed a 104% tariff on Chinese imports starting at midnight, escalating trade tensions and fueling market volatility. ​The Guardian Tech Tumbles: Major tech stocks led the decline, with the Nasdaq Composite dropping 2.1% amid renewed [...]

(It is important to read all the way to the end). Tariffs, tariffs, tariffs. Markets still haven’t found solid ground under the weight of escalating trade tensions. It’s Sunday night:📉 Bitcoin is down 6.5%📉 Dow futures pointing to another 1,500-point slide Volatility’s the name of the game right now — but remember:Panic creates prices, and patience creates profits. Stay sharp. Opportunity always follows chaos. 📉 Indices Performance: S&P 500: Closed at 5,074.08, down 9.1% for the week, with a 5.97% drop on Friday alone. ​ Dow Jones Industrial Average: Fell 7.9% over the week, closing at 38,314.86, including a 5.5% [...]

📊 Market Recap – March 5, 2025 📈 Indices S&P 500: 5,842 (+1.1%) Dow: 43,006 (+1.1%) Nasdaq: 18,285 (+1.5%) Russell 2K: 2,084 (+1.0%) ⭐ The market opened with a slight bounce, dipped from 10 AM to 12 PM, and then staged a steady afternoon climb, closing near the highs. 📈 🔥 Winners: $GM (+5.2%), $F (+5.0%), $TSLA (+2.6%), $NVDA (+1.1%), $MRNA (+16.0%) 📉 Losers: CRWD (-6.3%), Energy stocks lagging (-1.5%) 🚀 Crypto BTC: $90,315 (+4.0%) ETH: $2,241 (+3.7%) SOL: $138.62 (+5.2%) ADA: $0.72 (+4.9%) XRP: $0.64 (+3.1%) 💰 Stock of the Day: $DOW (+6.1%) 💉 Why $MRNA Popped 16% Today [...]

📉 Market Recap – Mar 6, 2025 🔻 S&P 500 -1.8% (tests 200DMA)🔻 Nasdaq -2.6% (back in correction)🔻 Dow -1% (5.4% off ATH) 🚨 Why? Trump’s new tariffs add trade fears 🌍 $MRVL -18% on weak guidance, dragging semis Broadcom, Nvidia followed lower 💰 Crypto Check BTC $89,570 (+1%) 🔥 ETH $2,232 (+2%) 🚀 XRP $2.59 (+5%) 📈 In the after-hours, President Trump signed an executive order to establish a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, but it’s not what people expected. Bitcoin is selling off on the news. “The reserve will be capitalized with bitcoin owned by the federal government that was [...]

Let’s review a few things that we tend to forget when the market goes down and we get emotional. • The market goes up and down, not up or down. The average bull market lasts about 8.9 years, and the average bear market about 1.3 years. • The average intra-year decline in the S&P 500 is 14%, and despite that, on a calendar-year basis, the S&P 500 closed higher 75% of the time. • Individual stocks are not the market. You need a plan for individual stocks. If you don’t know what to do, then set a 25% trailing stop [...]

We had a solid midday rebound in the works, but sellers regained control into the close, erasing most of the gains. Some data of interest: The U.S. total Put Option Volume hit a record high. To put that in context, it is higher now than during COVID-19 and the great financial crisis. Obama 1.0 vs Trump 2.0 Source: Bespoke Trump 1.0 vs Trump 2.0 Source: Bespoke U.S. Stock Returns After Declining 10% or More. The key here is the return of the market, the S&P 500, not a random individual common stock. Time is your friend. Here’s what I’m watching [...]

The drip selling grinds on. A swift flush is always better than death by a thousand cuts. After today’s nasty Thursday, brace yourself for the inevitable chatter about the 1987 playbook: a sharp drop on Thursday, a flat Friday, a market crash on Monday, a Turnaround Tuesday, a retest of the lows a month later—then liftoff. Could another Black Monday happen? Absolutely. Given the current administration's rhetoric, they may not mind seeing the market tumble 20% if it means securing rate cuts and possibly even some fresh quantitative easing. 1990 1998 1999 2002 2003 2008 2010 2011 Here is a [...]