The Trade Is Simple. Your Emotions Complicate It.
Most traders want certainty where none exists. Focus on what you can control.
Most traders want certainty where none exists. Focus on what you can control.
I run two scans. They’re the same ones I primarily used last year when I joined the U.S. Investing Championship. You can read about that here → (USIC) They’re also the same two scans I’ll rely on again as I compete this year. In this 3-minute video, I briefly walk through: What the two scans are Why I use them How they fit my trading timeframe If you want to go deeper, I’ve broken this process down in much more detail across other videos on my YouTube channel.
If you’re not catching themes, you’re just trading tickers. Risk management keeps you in the game.Position sizing keeps you solvent.But catching 2–3 real themes a year is what compounds capital. I made this point clearly almost 6 years ago in a video most people watched and then ignored:👉 The market hasn’t changed. Human behavior hasn’t changed.Only the themes do. Over the weekend, markets digested major geopolitical news: The arrest of Nicolás Maduro Most traders made the obvious move: Chase oil stocks That’s first-order thinking. Second-order effects are where the money is made. The Stocks That Reacted Immediately (and Why) MercadoLibre [...]
In 2025, I entered the U.S. Investing Championship. 579 entrants Tracked for 11 months Ranked #42 Return: +28% That’s the result. Here’s what matters more. This Was Not a YOLO account. I did not trade differently than I trade client capital. No leverage games.No leaderboard chasing.No style drift. Same process. Same risk rules. Risk and Recovery Returns without context are meaningless. Max drawdown My account: 13.14% S&P 500: 18.76% Recovery time My account: 24 days S&P 500: 57 days Largest percentage winners STSS entry date (9/8) DFLI (10/13) ETHA (4/24) LDI (9/5) QUBX (9/17) IONZ (11/19) UPXI (7/17) Largest dollar [...]
I’m always focused on bases. Not because they’re pretty on a chart, but because compression is what funds expansion. Markets don’t move in straight lines—they coil first. Long-term bases, especially multi-year ones, are where some of the most powerful trend moves are born. We’ve talked about bases extensively here because they remain one of my highest-conviction technical setups. Stan Weinstein, in Secrets for Profiting in Bull and Bear Markets, defines a basing area like this: “After a stock has been declining for several months, it eventually will lose downside momentum and start to trend sideways. What’s actually taking place is [...]
Last night I posted something simple: “Critical mining has my eye.” No headline.No news.Just what the screens were telling me. Less than 12 hours later, Bloomberg hit with this: The Trump Administration is planning to take additional stakes in U.S. minerals companies. That’s the narrative. But the important part is this: The trades were already on before the story broke. This is exactly what “finding stocks before they break out” actually means in practice — not prediction, not hype, just theme → execution → confirmation. The Theme Came First Critical metals and domestic resource independence have been quietly tightening under [...]
On December 3rd, I posted that OKLO and ASTS were stabilizing after deep drawdowns. No hype.No chasing.Just finding stocks before the breakout. This Is Exactly How These Trades Are Spotted These weren’t random momentum spikes. They came from: Drawdown stabilization Situational awareness Volatility compression Single-stock ETF exposure And We’re Already Tracking the Next Wave While most traders wait for confirmation, my Private Alpha Group is already positioned in: The next stabilization setups The next volatility expansions The next asymmetric opportunities Some people are too busy to trade during the day, and others don’t fully trust their execution. That’s why I [...]
Today had all the ingredients for a trend day higher — NVDA crushed earnings, and QQQ opened up $10. On paper, that should’ve set the tone. Instead, it turned into the sharpest intraday reversal we’ve seen in weeks. The first crack showed up outside equities. Bitcoin and Ethereum gave back their entire overnight gains before the bell, and to me, that was telling. It reminded me of last week when IWM was down $1 pre-market immediately after the government made progress on avoiding a shutdown. “Good news” didn’t matter — risk assets were already signaling trouble. Today had the same [...]
Yesteryear’s market is not today’s market. The headline indices have lulled people into thinking things are “fine,” but under the surface, it’s been a completely different story. Breadth has been atrocious. While the S&P barely blinked, a massive chunk of individual stocks quietly fell 30–40%. This past month was a perfect example: concentration masked the damage. Ten stocks are responsible for roughly 60% of this year’s S&P 500 gains. When the generals hold up, the army can collapse and nobody notices—until they check their portfolio. From the 10/29 peak to Friday’s trough, the S&P 500 slipped by just -3.82%.Meanwhile, high-beta [...]
Yesterday marked the worst breadth day ever for an “up” day in the S&P 500 — the index closed +0.23%, but under the surface, only 104 stocks were up while 398 were down. Since 1990, the S&P has never had a weaker internal reading on a positive day. Today: Same Story, Slight Bounce The divergence continues.The Nasdaq 100 ($QQQ) is up +0.52%, but the Equal Weight Nasdaq ($QQEW) is down –0.54% — that’s a massive split. Negative breadth doesn’t matter much to the indices until it hits the generals — $AAPL, $MSFT, $NVDA, $GOOGL, $AMZN — but it matters if [...]