If you’re not catching themes, you’re just trading tickers.
Risk management keeps you in the game.
Position sizing keeps you solvent.
But catching 2–3 real themes a year is what compounds capital.
I made this point clearly almost 6 years ago in a video most people watched and then ignored:
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The market hasn’t changed. Human behavior hasn’t changed.
Only the themes do.
Over the weekend, markets digested major geopolitical news:
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The arrest of Nicolás Maduro
Most traders made the obvious move:
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Chase oil stocks
That’s first-order thinking.
Second-order effects are where the money is made.
The Stocks That Reacted Immediately (and Why)
MercadoLibre
Latin America’s Amazon.
Regime instability historically leads to:
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Capital flight
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Currency stress
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Increased reliance on digital commerce
The stock didn’t wait. It moved right away.
Arcos Dorados, this is the one we nailed.
Another clean example:
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Redwire ($RDW) SPACE
Up ~45% in 5 days after we flagged it.
If you want to see:
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How I identify themes early
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What I’m watching before they move
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How I size and manage risk when themes confirm
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CLICK ON THE PICTURE
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