Trade Ideas, Adapt

Trade Ideas, Adapt

We need to stop quoting old sayings by Wall Street “gurus”, things change, what might have worked 20 years ago might not work now.  When it comes to trading we hear a lot about discipline, not enough is said about ADAPTING.  Remember when taking a three-pointer on a fast break was a sin?

CEVA, SOHU, GWR, DGX, ABC, M, FEYE, RGLS, DATA, SQM, SGMO, SGYP, XBI, NK, MITK, are the names on my swing trading watchlist today.

The Process;

Every morning I go through a few of my scans to find buy candidates for the day.  Depending on the current state of the market the size of the list will vary, usually it’s no more than 50 names.  My process is based on market structure, not on beliefs or myths about what works– or what doesn’t work.  They are certain behavioral patterns that have been around for 100 years that are based on market structure; these behavioral patterns are recognizable, observable, and quantifiable.  On a daily basis, we have 3,000 stocks that we filter based on certain market structures that give us an edge of a higher probability than a random outcome.  Once the list is narrowed to a handful of names, he market will further narrow down the list by getting us in or keeping us out of these names with a range expansion move.
I don’t look at charts in your conventional cookie-cutter manner, or have rules as to where the stock should be whether its 15% off its 52 week highs or above or below certain moving averages etc, .in the short term none of that matters.
  1. How much you put at risk per trade depends for the most part what your current outlook is for the market over the next 0-5 days.
  2. Put these names on your trading platform.
  3. Set the alerts at yesterday’s high for each name.
  4. Once the alert goes off take a look at the chart, decide within 3 seconds whether or not you are going to buy it.
  5. Decide how much you want to risk on the trade and your stop loss.
  6. Hit the buy button, and leave the rest up to the market, wash, rinse, repeat.  Buy’em tight, Sell’em loose.
  7. This all can be done pre-market.
A few things that you should know about this swing strategy;
  •  Its primary goal is to get you in when stocks are moving and keep you out in choppy/sloppy markets; it is imperative that you allowed the market to get you in only when the stocks go through their previous day’s high.
  • Your awareness of how the market is behaving is crucial, this will give you an idea of how hard to push the envelope.  My best indicator for this is my rolling five-day watch-list.
  • Swing trading is a numbers game, you are going to be wrong half the time, risk management is above all, and many times you will have nothing to do because the market did not get you in. We are not looking for any action; we are looking for the right action.
  • Don’t be penny wise, don’t try to anticipate a move just because the chart looks good.  You can have a great looking tight set up with a stock coiling for ten days but who is to say that it won’t coil for another five days.  If you anticipate the range expansion you might buy something that is not ready to go, and it will only frustrate you and lower your odds of a winning trade.
  • For me, this list is a one-way list – long bias.  I do not look at this list as a long or short list, long and short are two different games with different dynamics.
  • You need to be extremely organized.  Most if not all your work will be done pre-market and you will spend the day just executing or you can just automate it with buy orders after 9:45 am.
By | 2018-02-02T12:09:20+00:00 |

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